Data to …… trials

Run camp-trivial-belief-gemma4qat-001

79% PASS

What this run revealed, then every individual trial as evidence.

24
Trials
79%
19/24 scored
over trials
Pass rate
5
21%
Failures
$0.0009
Run cost

Run camp-trivial-belief-gemma4qat-001: 79% pass rate on belief queries.

Of 24 scored trials (belief query kind), the model passed 79% and failed 21%.

5 failure(s) recorded; failures not yet verified -- use "Verify failures" on this page (or scripts/verify_past_failures.py).

Diffuse weakness (below 90% but no outright flip) on: context_length (pass rate 56% at the high end), distractors (pass rate 56% at the high end), entity_state (pass rate 56% at the high end).

5 belief failure(s) were classified against known shortcuts, but none of them dominate -- the failures don't share one obvious wrong-answer pattern.

Notable failures

  • record 5a2c630a — asked "Where does Roman believe the dusty wrench is? Answer with only the location name (or 'unknown' if they have no belief)."
    expected: the front office
    actual: wine cellar

    the model's answer matches no known shortcut -- an unclassified miss

  • record 0561d2b5 — asked "Where does Gideon believe the blue tablet is? Answer with only the location name (or 'unknown' if they have no belief)."
    expected: the library
    actual: gym

    the model's answer matches the 'most_frequent_location' shortcut, not the verified belief

  • record f83b3de1 — asked "Where does Sana believe the cracked folder is? Answer with only the location name (or 'unknown' if they have no belief)."
    expected: the mail room
    actual: east wing

    the story showed the queried entity WATCHING the final move, but the model answered where the object was before it -- it matched the classic false-belief template instead of reading the observation

Trials24 trials
Per-trial table (24 trials -- prompt, reasoning, verdict, answer key)
modelverdictkinddifficultycost ($)tokens in/out
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "supply closet"belief-0.000015145/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "conference room"belief-0.000016148/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "south stairwell"belief-0.000016152/4full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "wine cellar"belief-0.000021198/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "south stairwell"belief-0.000021197/4full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "observation deck"belief-0.000022209/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "greenhouse"belief-0.000027263/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "mail room"belief-0.000029282/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "reception area"belief-0.000027253/4full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "server room"belief-0.000035345/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "library"belief-0.000034330/2full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "library"belief-0.000032318/2full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "library"belief-0.000034338/2full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "atrium"belief-0.000044434/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct?FAILanswered "wine cellar"unverifiedbelief-0.000041402/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct?FAILanswered "gym"unverifiedbelief-0.000048478/2full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "server room"belief-0.000050492/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct?FAILanswered "east wing"unverifiedbelief-0.000046453/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "cafeteria"belief-0.000056547/4full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct?FAILanswered "archive room"unverifiedbelief-0.000054533/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "break room"belief-0.000054532/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "wine cellar"belief-0.000059582/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct?FAILanswered "security office"unverifiedbelief-0.000065641/3full transcript →
gemma-4-31b-it-qat-w4a16-ct✓PASSanswered "wine cellar"belief-0.000060594/3full transcript →