Data to …… trials
II · Tool planning

Plans long tool sequences (clear tool names)

Gemma 3 27B

Finding:HOLDS· grade B(research conclusion)

Holds through 13-call plans: 34/42 pass across every tested level

Held through 13-call plans

Pass rate by level5 levels tested
Pass rate by level for Plans long tool sequences (clear tool names)0%30%50%75%100%7-call plans7-call plans: 11/14 pass (79%)11/149-call plans9-call plans: 5/7 pass (71%)5/711-call plans11-call plans: 6/7 pass (86%)6/712-call plans12-call plans: 6/7 pass (86%)6/713-call plans13-call plans: 6/7 pass (86%)6/7

Dashed lines: a level at or below 30% pass counts toward BREAKS, at or below 75% toward DEGRADES. Labels above points: passed/scored.

LevelPassedPass rateNote
7-call plans11/1479%
9-call plans5/771%
11-call plans6/786%
12-call plans6/786%
13-call plans6/786%
What the few failures have in common

The model calls a real tool before the step it depends on is done.

in 100% of failures (8 failures)

Evidencewhat this finding rests on
  • Ground truthDeterministic simulation: the right answer is computed, not judged
  • StatisticsWilson 95% interval 67%–90%Grade B: moderate evidence
  • Sample size42 scored trials in total
  • Fresh-seed confirmationNot run yet
  • ReplicationNot run yet
Raw evidenceruns and trials

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