Data to …… trials
II · Tool planning

Picks the right tool from a large catalog

Gemma 3 27B

Finding:HOLDS· grade B(research conclusion)

Holds through 66-tool catalogs: 46/56 pass across every tested level

Held through 66-tool catalogs

Pass rate by level8 levels tested
Pass rate by level for Picks the right tool from a large catalog0%30%50%75%100%8-tool catalogs8-tool catalogs: 7/7 pass (100%)7/717-tool catalogs17-tool catalogs: 5/7 pass (71%)5/725-tool catalogs25-tool catalogs: 6/7 pass (86%)6/734-tool catalogs34-tool catalogs: 4/7 pass (57%)4/743-tool catalogs43-tool catalogs: 4/7 pass (57%)4/752-tool catalogs52-tool catalogs: 7/7 pass (100%)7/760-tool catalogs60-tool catalogs: 7/7 pass (100%)7/766-tool catalogs66-tool catalogs: 6/7 pass (86%)6/7

Dashed lines: a level at or below 30% pass counts toward BREAKS, at or below 75% toward DEGRADES. Labels above points: passed/scored.

LevelPassedPass rateNote
8-tool catalogs7/7100%
17-tool catalogs5/771%
25-tool catalogs6/786%
34-tool catalogs4/757%
43-tool catalogs4/757%
52-tool catalogs7/7100%
60-tool catalogs7/7100%
66-tool catalogs6/786%
What the few failures have in common

The model calls a real tool before the step it depends on is done.

in 100% of failures (10 failures)

Evidencewhat this finding rests on
  • Ground truthDeterministic simulation: the right answer is computed, not judged
  • StatisticsWilson 95% interval 70%–90%Grade B: moderate evidence
  • Sample size56 scored trials in total
  • Fresh-seed confirmationNot run yet
  • ReplicationNot run yet
Raw evidenceruns and trials

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