Data to …… trials
I · Narrative

Tracks what a person believes from what they saw

Nemotron 3 Super 120B

Finding:HOLDS· grade A(research conclusion)

97% correct (283/291)

Tested up to chain length 25, scramble 1.0, pronoun pressure 8, distractor events 40, witness cutoff 0.9

Pass ratesingle rate, no difficulty dial
97%

283/291 scored trials passed · 95% interval 95%–99%

breaks ≤ 30%holds if interval reaches 95%0%50%100%
What the few failures have in common

The model gives a wrong answer that matches no known shortcut.

in 62% of failures (8 failures)

Example failure
Trial result: FAIL (one model answer)
FAIL
utility closet
Evidencewhat this finding rests on
  • Ground truthDeterministic simulation: the right answer is computed, not judged
  • StatisticsWilson 95% interval 95%–99%Grade A: strong evidence
  • Sample size291 scored trials in total
  • Fresh-seed confirmationNot run yet
  • ReplicationNot run yet
Raw evidenceruns and trials

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