I · Narrative

Tracks what a person believes from what they saw

Nemotron 3 Nano 30B

Finding:DEGRADES· grade A(research conclusion)

90% correct (521/578)

Tested up to chain length 25, scramble 1.0, pronoun pressure 8, distractor events 40, witness cutoff 0.9

Pass ratesingle rate, no difficulty dial

90%

521/578 scored trials passed · 95% interval 87%–92%

Why it slips

The model answers where the object really is, not where the person believes it is.

Example failure

Trial result: FAIL (one model answer)

FAIL

print room

Open this trial →Open the run it came from →

Evidencewhat this finding rests on

Ground truthDeterministic simulation: the right answer is computed, not judged
StatisticsWilson 95% interval 87%–92%Grade A: strong evidence
Sample size578 scored trials in total29 errored trials excluded
Fresh-seed confirmationNot run yet
ReplicationNot run yet

Raw evidenceruns and trials

Runs behind this row
- camp-belief-nemotron-nano-001 105 trials
- camp-full_map-nano-002/belief 190 trials
- camp-full_map-nano-002/breaking_point 56 trials
- camp-full_map-nvidia-nemotron-3-nano-30b-a3b-001/belief 200 trials
- camp-full_map-nvidia-nemotron-3-nano-30b-a3b-001/breaking_point 56 trials
Every belief-tracking trial for this model → broader than this row
The example failure, in full →

Back to the capability map →